Market Outlook 18/07/08

Upmove to continue today also

Yesterday it was a very good day for indian market as market zoomed and closed bullish and bullish move is expected to continue today also.Oil prices tumbled below $130 a barrel for the first time in more than a month Thursday, as crude's dramatic slide entered a third day accompanied by a sharp sell-off in natural gas.Light, sweet crude for August delivery dropped $5.31 to settle at $129.29 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices have fallen nearly $16 in just the past three days.Dow Jones industrial average rose more than 200 points to settle at 11,446.66.Advancing issues outpaced decliners by nearly 3 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 7.17 billion shares, compared with 6.58 billion shares traded Wednesday.For today, nifty will open gap up for sure and above 3970 will target 4000 first and then 4065 will be tested and if nifty remains above 4000, it will remain explosive today and below 4000, 3970 will act as good support and if breaks that 3900 will be the strongest support for today.Coming week will be very crucial for indian market again as No-Confidence motion will be put up on 22nd tuesday and markets may move madly on that day as news keep poring in and if the government falls, it may trigger sharp sell off again.But for today, trend is very bullish.

Stock watch for the day:

Reliance Capital (1028): Buy this stock at dips with stop loss 1000 for target 1055-1075

Intraday call performance 17/07/08

Market bounce back strong with crude dip

As expected it was higher opening today because of positive global cues and strong European markets also added to positive sentiments. Though nifty went for some selling later, still held on to strong supports on downside and made a high of 4968 and even closed in positive territory again.Top gainers are Maruti Suzuki, HDFC, Jaiprakash Associates, BPCL and GAIL while Ranbaxy Labs, Tata Steel, Sterlite Industries and SAIL losers.Now, next few day's will bring in volatility again with top news is on Government-No-Confidence motion on 22nd which is very crucial for the market survival.

Stock watch for the day:

Adlabs: This was given a buy call with stop loss 388 for target 410 and it made a high of 424

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Buy Nifty Futures around 3860 with stop loss 3838 and it made 3896 and gave cover order

Short Nifty Futures around 3900 with stop loss 3915 and it made 3865

Short Nifty Futures around 3925 with stop loss 3945 made 3888 and told to cover all position

Short Baja Hindustan around 154 with stop loss 156 for taregt 145 and it made 148

Short Bank of India around 236 with stop loss 237.5 and it made just 235 and then small stop loss hit

Short India Info around 615 with stop loss 618.5 for target 590-575 and it made 592

Short RPL around 153 with stop loss 157.5 for taregt 144 and it made 147

Short Reliance Infra at 794 stop 802 for target 774 and it hit the stop loss

Buy Reliance Capital at 1020 with stop loss 1006 and it made made 1030 and gave cover order around there

Market Outlook 17/07/08

Oil crashing down..is it one more manipulation now..!

Yesterday it was a bad day for indian market again as market went for deep selling and for today, positive global cues may result in higher opening. Light, sweet crude for August delivery fell $4.14 to settle at $134.60 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after earlier sinking as low as $132. The drop follows a $6.44 sell-off Tuesday, crude's biggest since the Gulf War.The huge swings oil had in two day's is amazing as it dropped by more than $10 Tuesday and $7 Wednesday and it makes us think whether this is one more manipulation or is it really coming down..! The Dow took positives from this oil drop and rose 276.74 to 11,239.28. It was the blue-chips biggest one-day gain since April 1, when the index rose 391 points.The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices fell. For today, be cautious if there is higher opening near 3900..- as remain below 3920, market is weak only and if nifty breaks 3920 then one more resistance is there at 3960.So, be cautious at higher levels and below 3900 supports are at 3850 and 3790.Inflation figures are expected to be announced later in the evening today.

Stock watch for the day:

Adlabs (395): Buy this with stop loss 388 for target 405-410

Market Outlook 10/07/08

Always remember that the future comes one day at a time....

It was a very good day for market yesterday and now near to crucial resistance at 4220-4245 and failure to cross this will invite heavy selling again.If the market opens low, buying will emerge from lower end.Higher levels are exerting pressure and lower level invite buying and this will continue today also.Oil prices remained a concern as they finished about where they began Wednesday after jumping more than $2 earlier on reports of lower U.S. oil stockpiles and an Iranian missile test settling at $136.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.The Dow fell 236.77, to 11,147.44 a day after rising more than 150 points.The dollar fell against other major currencies and Gold prices rose.Indian politics still not settled and even though Mulayam seems to have given his support to the government, there is not guarantee that government will survive and until the government prove their majority, uncertanity will continue in the market.For today, nifty above 4165 will face strong hurdle at 4220-4245 and below 4160 will have strong supports at 4115 and then 4060.

Stock watch for the day:

ICICI Bank (622): Short this stock around 630-635 with stop 645 for target 615-610

Intraday call performance 04/07/08

News based volatile market

volatility continued in the indian market and today being the day of hectic political activities with Samajawadi Party about to join the government and Left about to withdraw from the government.Trading was too volatile today with moves on both sides and market started the day with little upper side from yesterday's closing and then gained momentum just before inflation numbers came which surprisingly came below 12% as Inflation for week ended June 21 has come at 11.63% versus 11.42% and market discounted this small surge in inflation and reacted well bosting nifty movements on the upper side and then after sometime came down heavily and then again recovered well to go well past 4000 and even closed in green above 4000.Stocks like Reliance Capital which was boosted by news of S.P joning the government exploded from low of 860 level to make a high of 992 in today's trade.This was even told here in the market outlook section today.Today, L&T, Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Reliance Communication, ITC, BHEL, HDFC, DLF and ONGC were big contributors to both indices.

Stock watch for the day:

ICICI Bank: This was given a sell call below 570 for targets 555 and it made a low of 560

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Clients continue enjoying profits here irrespective of volatile market conditions

Short Nifty Futures around 3930 with stop 3955 and it just made 3920 and then stop loss hit

Short Nifty Futures around 3970 with stop 3985 and it made 3935 and told all to cover position

Short ICICI Bank at 584 with stop 589 and it made 563....very good profit

Short Cairns around 255 stop 258 and it made 246....very good profit

Short RCom around 405 with stop 407 and it made just 400 and then hit the small stop loss

Short SBI around 1125 with stop 1130 and it made 1100

Intraday call performance 24/06/08

Lower support broken again..!

Uncertainity in political situation, high inflation, crude oil surge, expiry effect all contributed to today's volatile trading and ending in deep RED in this years low and near to one more support at 4150. Stocks like ONGC, NTPC, Tata Steel were all pulling index down today.Tomorrow is big day for indian market and next 2 day's volatility might be huge and one should be very carefull as market can swing both directions and also market is also oversold and needs a strong pullback from low's.But, tomorrow if the government falls, impact of fall might be huge in the market.

Stock watch for the day:

Renuka :This was given a short call with stop loss 108.2 for target 100 and it made a high of 107 and low of 101

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Clients enjoyed the huge profits they got in my calls today....

Short Nifty Futures around 4325 with stop loss 4345 and nifty fell from 4310 to make a low of 4130

Short SBI around 1235 with stop 1252 and it made 1198 ....good Profit of 37 points.....

Short Relaince Capital around 960 with stop 970 and it made 920 ....huge Profit of 40 points.....

Short LITL near 355 with stop 358.5 and it made 328 ....huge Profit of 27points.....

Short Punab Lloyd around 232 stop 235 and it made 221.5 ....huge Profit of 12 points.....

Short RCom around 490 with stop 494 and it made 466 ....huge Profit of 24 points.....

Intraday call performance 23/06/08

Volatile day of market

Market opened weak as expected but was above 4300 surprisingly for about 45 minutes and then once started sliding below 4300, it was allround selling which took nifty towards 4200 as it made a low of 4225 and then buying came very heavily to lift nifty up with more than 100 points.Though Europian markets opened flat, it recovered a bit later on and at the closing bell nifty again started sliding below 4300 and closed around 4250.This volatility will continue for whole of this week because of so many factors around and main thing is of nuclear deal issue and government survival which will be known on wednesday and thursday is the expiry day. Oil, Pharma and Banking stocks contributed much into this downfall.

Stock watch for the day:

Polaris: This was given a sell call with stop loss 93 for target 86 and it made 86 with high at 91

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Good day of profits for clients

Buy Nifty Futures around 4220 with stop 4200 and it made 4275 and gave cover order

Short Nifty Futures around 4325 with stop 4340 and it made 4260

Buy Axis Bank around 676 with stop 670 and it hit exact support and then zoomed to 710

Short SBI around 1235 with stop 1252 and it made first target given at 1190

Short Axis Bank around 688 with stop 695 and when it made 680, gave cover order

Short Tisco at around 762 with stop 766 and it made 742

Short Axis Bank around 710 stop 713 and it made 691

Black monday for indian market..!

Where market is heading now..!

Already markets are crushed even though it is oversold as there seems to be more pressures of inflation and Government survival problems as it was evident in friday's crash and now nifty has already broken all supports and is near to 4300 and if at this stage government falls, where will nifty go....! Bahujan Samaj Party chief Mayawati has withdrawn her party's support to the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance government at the Centre.The BSP has 17 members in the Lok Sabha, which has an effective strength of 543. The UPA currently has the support of 220 members. The Left parties, which have 59 lawmakers as a block, extend outside support to the government. Dow fell more than 200 points yesterday and for india it will be a black monday and maybe with huge gap down....!
According to me, even if government falls here, timing also plays an important role and if the bad news comes of government fall when nifty is around 4200, impact might be too deep and nifty might see 3600-3500 straight and if th government survive for some more time and falls when nifty is at around 4800, then nifty might dip to 4000-3900 levels.
On otherway round, if government doesn't fall 4100-4000 level will be the bottom for this correction
and nice time to pick some good stocks also....
This week will be full of activity in political circles and in stock market, it is expiry effect....so, get ready for the action packed week......

Intraday call performance 19/06/08

Market in negative range..!

It was selling at opening bell for nifty today and as the time passed on, it even tested its strong support for the day at 4490, but could not break it convincigly and closed around 4500 in negative range.Europian markets also started trading weak today and along with this left front threat of withdrawing from the United Progressive Alliance on ongoing nuclear deal program also effected market sentiments today.Tomorrow if market breaks 4490, nifty will fall directly to 4440 suport area which again holds an important area now.Today also banking sectors like S.B.I, ICICI , HDFC, AXIS were pulling down the market to large extent.

Stock watch for the day:

IFCI: This was given a sell call with stop loss 57 for target 53 and the high was 56 and low recorded was 53.65

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Clients enjoyed very good profit day today also

Buy Nifty Futures around 4500 with stop 4480 and when it made 4522, told to cover position

Short IFCI around 55.5 with stop 56.2 and the stock slided to 54.2

Short Sasken Communications around 164 with stop loss 165.5 and it made 153 as target was given at 152.5

Short ITC around 204 with stop 205 and it hit the small stop loss

Short Axis Bank around 727 with stop 732 and it made 712

Intraday call performance 13/06/08

Flat closing of the market....

Even though nifty was trading positive in the opening, it came down some points and started trading flat in anticipation of inflation figures and once the high inflation figures came in, market was very much reluctant to go up and thoughit broke 4500, it didn't go much downwards and closed flat well below yesterday's close

Stock watch for the day:

Tisco: This was given a sell call with stop loss 865 for lower target 840 and it made a low of 836

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Clients made very good profits today....

Buy NIfty Futures around 4460 with stop 4440 and when it made 4500, told my clients to cover their positions

Buy DLF around 489 with stop 485 and it hit the small stop loss

Buy Bombay Dyeing around 734 with stop 725 and it made 746

Short Suzlon at around 257 with stop 261 and it made 243

Buy Tisco around 839 with stop 835 and it made 855

Market Outlook 12/06/08

Will it be another bull trap now...!

Inaterestingly indian market was in bullish mode yesterday and even closed near to resistance level of 4540.The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has hiked the repo rate by 0.25 percent to 7.75 percent, keeping the reverse repo rate unchanged at 6%.The Bank rate and the cash reserve ratio are left unchanged at 6% and 5% respectively.Moreover crude oil again went up to at $136.38 and dow fell 200 points yesterday.Swelling demand from China and other developing countries has boosted oil prices nearly 40 percent so far this year, pressuring major consumers like the United States that are already struggling to cope with a housing slowdown and credit crunch.Representatives of the world's biggest oil consumer and producer nations will meet in Saudi Arabia on June 22 to discuss soaring oil prices, which producer group OPEC says are due to speculation, not a lack of supply.So, all these negative news will effect to indian market also and for today, if nifty fails to cross 4540, it will be straight fall and lower side support will be at 4475 and then 4435 and lastly 4370 strongest support.Even if nifty moves above 4540, higher level selling will come strongly. Incase, if there is lower opening, pullback is possible again if 4370 is held.

Stock watch for the day:

LITL (353): Short this stock at higher levels with stop loss 364 for lower target 345-338

Intraday call performance 11/06/08

A Good Day for the Bulls....

Market was totally in bull control today as told and higher levels did exert pressure, but selling was not severe like before and yesterday's closing level was also not breached whole day..! Today's closing was still impressive as it closed just around 4540 resistance and now the real test will be 3635 level and if breaks that then 4700-4800 also might be possible or nifty might just reverse around 4635 tough resitance ahead.

Stock watch for the day:

Essar Oil:This was given a short call with stop loss 241 for target 223 and it made just 229

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Short Nifty Futures around 4520 with stop 4545 and it made just 4510 and then when it came up, told to cover position at 4523

Short Nifty Futures around 4520 with stop 4540 and it made a low of 4475

Short Bombay dyeing around 690 with stop 696 and it made just 683 and then hit the stop loss

Short VSNL around 453 with stop 455 and it made just 450

Short Cairns at 292 with stop 294.5 and it made 286

Short Bombay Dyeing at 690 with stop 696 and it made 683

Short Essar Oil around 234 with stop 235 and it made 229

intraday call performance 10/06/08

Volatile day of market ............!!

It was a very volatile day of tarding with movements on both sides and traders were totally confused when the market was showing volatility in the alst hour of trading as it was making moves on both sides.Though market openingw as well above yestedray's close, it couldn't cross the first resistance at 4545 and started sliding down slowly and in the later afternoon sldie becaome severe breaking all the inbetween supports and closing around 4460.

Stock watch for the day:

RPL : This was given a short call with stop loss 181 for lower target 164 and it made a low of 165 and high was just 174

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Buy Nifty Futures around 4430 with stop 4405 and it made 4455 and told to cover position when it came down to 4425

Buy Nifty Futures around 4360 with stop 4355 and it made 4393

Buy Dr Reddy's Lab around 698 with stop 694 and it made 710

Buy Tisco around 820 with stop 816 and it made 827 and then hit the stop loss

Buy RCom at around 540 with stop 538 and it made just 543 and then hit the smal stop loss

Short Bombay Dyeing around 636 with stop 641 and it made 628

Market Outlook 10/06/08

Time to pick up quality stocks..!

Atlast nifty broke 4440 strong support and it seemed like operators broke that support purposely to make a new low support and will be interesting to see today's moves now.For today, if nifty moves above 4545, it will test 4590 first and then testing of 4635 final strong support is on.But higher level will exert pressure for sure and more interesting part is to see the extent of pull back rally.Nifty remain below 4525 sentiments will remain weak and on downside 4575 will act as support and break below 4440 will be another big support to watch.Time for buying quality stocks at dips now and lots of money are waiting on the sidelines to be dumped in the stock market and there may be another big upmove shortly.Moreover Oil prices closed Monday at $134.35 a barrel, down from last week's high of $139.12 a barrel and if slides further will be good for the market.

Stock watch for the day:

RPL (171)-Short this with stop loss 181 for target 168-164.If moves above 182, dont short.

Market Outlook 30/05/08

After managing to trade above 4900 for most part of the day, nifty just crashed in the last hour as there were FIIs selling heavily and nifty then touched 4800 and then moved up again and for today nifty has hurdle around 4900 and if breaks this it may try for 4930 and then 4960 testing will be on again.As long as nifty is holding its support at 4790, there is no much panic in the market for sure.But higher levels will exert pressure again.Inflation figures may set the trend today.As told, Nifty has final support at 4790 on downside and if breaks below that straight support at 4740-4700 only.

Stock watch for the day:

Satyam (524): Buy this with stop loss 519 for target 534-545.If slides below 519, it is not a buy.

Market volatility continues

03/11/07

As expected by me, nifty took support from 5700 level and again was able to cross and close above 5900 mark and the market volatility is still continuing and also looks very bullish even though there are lot of negtaive factors running around like oil price raising in international market, the never ending indian political problems, us economy problems, weekening of dollar etc.Still, the market is zooming and now looking towards 6050 first and if crosses that level then we can see 6300 level very soon.Market is definitely looking like standing on needle point now and if corrections do take place anytime, then sensex might wipe out 2000-3000 points for sure.Now, since all the sebi meeting, fed meeting, p-notes issue are all over, markets might sail again on upper side very smoothly unless anything negative thing happens all of a sudden.But, market volatility wil remiana nd 5700 might become stop loss for all longs now.But, there is still lot of strength in the market as there are lot of buyers coming in at every dip in the market.Reliance pack is taking a major part here.