Market Outlook 17/07/08

Oil crashing down..is it one more manipulation now..!

Yesterday it was a bad day for indian market again as market went for deep selling and for today, positive global cues may result in higher opening. Light, sweet crude for August delivery fell $4.14 to settle at $134.60 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after earlier sinking as low as $132. The drop follows a $6.44 sell-off Tuesday, crude's biggest since the Gulf War.The huge swings oil had in two day's is amazing as it dropped by more than $10 Tuesday and $7 Wednesday and it makes us think whether this is one more manipulation or is it really coming down..! The Dow took positives from this oil drop and rose 276.74 to 11,239.28. It was the blue-chips biggest one-day gain since April 1, when the index rose 391 points.The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices fell. For today, be cautious if there is higher opening near 3900..- as remain below 3920, market is weak only and if nifty breaks 3920 then one more resistance is there at 3960.So, be cautious at higher levels and below 3900 supports are at 3850 and 3790.Inflation figures are expected to be announced later in the evening today.

Stock watch for the day:

Adlabs (395): Buy this with stop loss 388 for target 405-410

Market Outlook 14/07/08

Interesting week ahead for market

Market crashed on friday with high inflation and crude oil and will resume again today with weak global cues.The Dow Jones industrials on Friday briefly fell below 11,000 for the first time in two years settling at 11,100.54 and the oil prices on Friday soared to a new trading record above $147 a barrel, following the two-day pullback back of nearly $10 a barrel Monday and Tuesday.With political uncertainty continuing, indian stock market is weak and facing selling at every raise.This trend may continue till the day of vote of confidence motion.Investors seems to be more scared in investing now, though market is at an attractive lower end and in oversold condition. Market just needs one trigger to move strongly on upper side.But now, sentiments are negative and for today on upper side nifty will face definite resistance at 4090-4115 and on downside 3990 will be strong support for today and break below that may go to 3940 support.If there is lower opening above 3850 buying might come and don't short blindly on lower side.

Stock watch for the day:

BHEL (1521): Short this stock at higher levels with stop loss 1560 for target 1500-1480

Market Outlook 30/05/08

After managing to trade above 4900 for most part of the day, nifty just crashed in the last hour as there were FIIs selling heavily and nifty then touched 4800 and then moved up again and for today nifty has hurdle around 4900 and if breaks this it may try for 4930 and then 4960 testing will be on again.As long as nifty is holding its support at 4790, there is no much panic in the market for sure.But higher levels will exert pressure again.Inflation figures may set the trend today.As told, Nifty has final support at 4790 on downside and if breaks below that straight support at 4740-4700 only.

Stock watch for the day:

Satyam (524): Buy this with stop loss 519 for target 534-545.If slides below 519, it is not a buy.