Black monday for indian market..!

Where market is heading now..!

Already markets are crushed even though it is oversold as there seems to be more pressures of inflation and Government survival problems as it was evident in friday's crash and now nifty has already broken all supports and is near to 4300 and if at this stage government falls, where will nifty go....! Bahujan Samaj Party chief Mayawati has withdrawn her party's support to the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance government at the Centre.The BSP has 17 members in the Lok Sabha, which has an effective strength of 543. The UPA currently has the support of 220 members. The Left parties, which have 59 lawmakers as a block, extend outside support to the government. Dow fell more than 200 points yesterday and for india it will be a black monday and maybe with huge gap down....!
According to me, even if government falls here, timing also plays an important role and if the bad news comes of government fall when nifty is around 4200, impact might be too deep and nifty might see 3600-3500 straight and if th government survive for some more time and falls when nifty is at around 4800, then nifty might dip to 4000-3900 levels.
On otherway round, if government doesn't fall 4100-4000 level will be the bottom for this correction
and nice time to pick some good stocks also....
This week will be full of activity in political circles and in stock market, it is expiry effect....so, get ready for the action packed week......

Market Outlook 12/06/08

Will it be another bull trap now...!

Inaterestingly indian market was in bullish mode yesterday and even closed near to resistance level of 4540.The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has hiked the repo rate by 0.25 percent to 7.75 percent, keeping the reverse repo rate unchanged at 6%.The Bank rate and the cash reserve ratio are left unchanged at 6% and 5% respectively.Moreover crude oil again went up to at $136.38 and dow fell 200 points yesterday.Swelling demand from China and other developing countries has boosted oil prices nearly 40 percent so far this year, pressuring major consumers like the United States that are already struggling to cope with a housing slowdown and credit crunch.Representatives of the world's biggest oil consumer and producer nations will meet in Saudi Arabia on June 22 to discuss soaring oil prices, which producer group OPEC says are due to speculation, not a lack of supply.So, all these negative news will effect to indian market also and for today, if nifty fails to cross 4540, it will be straight fall and lower side support will be at 4475 and then 4435 and lastly 4370 strongest support.Even if nifty moves above 4540, higher level selling will come strongly. Incase, if there is lower opening, pullback is possible again if 4370 is held.

Stock watch for the day:

LITL (353): Short this stock at higher levels with stop loss 364 for lower target 345-338