Market Outlook 06/11/08

Market at the edge of big support..!

It was a very bad day of trading for indian market yesterday as nifty directly broke down from 3240 resistance area to test major support around 2950.On global scenario, cues are negative as The Dow Jones industrial average fell 486.01-points to close at-9,139.27 to their fears of a deep and protracted recession after Barack Obama's presidential victory.Although the market expected Obama to win the election, as the session wore on investors were clearly worrying about the weakness of the economy and pondered what the Obama administration might do.Among financials, Goldman Sachs fell $7.57, or 8 percent, to $87.43. Citigroup fell $2.05, or 14 percent, to $12.63, while Bank of America Corp. dropped $2.78, or 11.3 percent, to $21.75.The dollar was mostly lower against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.Light, sweet crude dropped $5.23 to settle at $65.30 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.For today, nifty is all set to break crucial resistance of 2950 and maybe in the opening bell..! and on break of 2950 it will go to 2900 first and then 2845 strong support will be tested.On other side, if nifty gets past 3000, it will face strong resistance at 3050 and 3080 where heavy selling will emerge.One can witness heavy volatility in today's market.Heavy buying might come only if nifty gets past 3080 strong resistance.

Stock watch for the day:

Today's calls only for clients

Intraday Call Performance 05/11/08

Market crashing exactly from resistance zone..!!

Though market was bullish today and zoomed past 3200 in the opening bell, it reacted exactly at resistance zone and came down sharply breaking strong support at 3150 and then in the afternoon session selling became more wild as nifty went on to make a low of 3971 near to major support now.Heavy sell off in heavyweight Reliance Industries triggered the sharp down fall breaking all intermediate supports.Nifty closed at 2994, down 147 points from the previous close.European markets were trading weak and Asian market was positive except indian market. The market breadth was negative with advances at 422 against declines of 836 on the NSE. Top Nifty gainers included Sun Pharma, Suzlon and Wipro while losers included GAIL, SAIL and Reliance Industries.Volatility was too much in today's market.

Stock watch for the day:

RCom: This was given a short call with stop loss 261 for target 235 and it made 261 in opening seconds and then came down crashing to make a low of 221

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Clients had a very good day with good profits today

Buy Nifty Futures around 3130 with stop loss 3110 and it made just 3146 and then stop loss hit

Buy Nifty Futures around 3080 with stop loss 3060 and it made 3138....GOOD PROFIT

Buy Reliance Capital around 750 with stop loss 744 and it made just 757 and then gave exit call at 755

Short Bank of India around 282 with stop loss 284.2 and it made 276

Buy SBI around 1265 with stop loss 1252 for target 1300-1330 and it made 1326....VERY GOOD PROFIT

Buy Reliance around 1300 with stop loss 1279.8 and it made 1334....GOOD PROFIT

Short Reliance Capital around 732 with stop loss 738 for target 700-685 and when it made 682, gave cover call....VERY GOOD PROFIT

Buy Reliance Capital around 680 with stop loss 678 for taregt 695 and it made 694....GOOD PROFIT

Short Reliance Capital if breaks 680 for target 660-650 and it made 651....VERY GOOD PROFIT

Market Outlook 05/11/08

Market in bullish mode and near to some hurdles

It was a good trading day yesterday with nifty closing above 3100 after initial down move below 3000.On global front, cues are very positive and The Dow Jones industrial average moved more than 300 points on U.S elections day.nvestors have overlooked a spate of bad economic data recently, including a report Monday from the Institute for Supply Management that revealed the worst monthly contraction in manufacturing activity.The dollar fell against most other major currencies, while gold prices rose.Light, sweet crude jumped $6.62 to settle at $70.53 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, a reaction to the slide in the dollar..The Dow Jones industrial average closed 9,625.28-up 305.45 points from the previous close.European shares have also been boosted by the ongoing decline in interbank lending rates ahead of expected interest rate reductions Thursday from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.For today if nifty moves above 3150, all round buying might take nifty towards 3220 first resistance and above that 3265-3280 is one more big resistance zone.Downside supports are at 3100 and 3070 and if 3070 gets broken, it will move toward 3020 strong support for today.This U.S elections has taken the centre stage in this bad market conditions world over.Market is also over bought and interesting to see till which point this rally extends now.

Stock watch for the day:

RCom (250)-Watch this stock and short it on raise with stop loss 261 for target 240-235.Above 261, it is not a short.

Intraday Call Performance 04/11/08

Market closing bullish as expected

Market opened well below yesterday's close and even broke 3000, it recovered well and went above 3000 and as expected faced first resistance at 3080 and was trading in a range struggling to cross crucial resistance at 3080 as given here and then in the late afternoon session, heavy buying came in to lift the market breaking 3080 to make a high of straight 3150.Finance Minister P Chidambaram's meeting today with the heads of PSU banks also had positive effects on the market.He also promised adequate finance will be provided to housing & SME sector. Finance Minister is going to consider Rs 10,000 crore credit line to NHB. RBI will provide enough dollar liquidity to banks. FM aims to have CAR of 12% for all PSU banks.Nifty closed at 3142, up 98 points from the previous close.The market breadth was positive with advances at 930 against declines of 324 on the NSE. Top Nifty gainers included Suzlon, Unitech and DLF while losers included Satyam, TCS and Wipro.Bank and realty stocks led this rally followed by power, capital goods, FMCG and metal stocks.It will be interesting to see the extending of rally here onwards as market needs a breather and nifty has multiple resistances going forward now.

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Fantastic day of huge profits for clients today

Short Nifty Futures around 3030 with stop loss 3055 for target 2990 and when it made 3015, gave cover order

Short Nifty Futures around 3045 with stop loss 3070 and it made 3022....GOOD PROFIT

Buy DLF around 240 with stop loss 236 for target 250-256-270 and it made 300....SUPER DUPER PROFIT

Short HDIL around 135 with stop loss 137.5 for target 130 and it made just 132.9 and then hit the small stop loss

Short Bank of India around 254 with stop loss 256.3 for target 244 and it made just 251 and the hit the small stop loss

Short Infosys around 1355 with stop loss 1362 for target 1330-1300 and it made 1285....SUPER DUPER PROFIT

Short India Bulls Real Estate around 138 with stop loss 139.4 for target 130 and it made 132....GOOD PROFIT

Short SBI around 1285 with stop loss 1292 for target 1260 and it made 1263....VERY GOOD PROFIT

Buy Reliance Capital around 683 with stop loss 678 for target 695-735-750 and it made 750....SUPER DUPER PROFIT

Market Outlook 04/11/08

Market on the verge of break out..but caution ahead of U.S elections

Yesterday nifty rallied above 3000 and closed in a bullish note above 3000.Today, if stays above 3000, it will be total bullish and if not, might come down a bit.On global scenario, The Dow Jones industrial average closed 9,319.83-down 5.18 points from the previous close ahead of U.S elections today.Dow Jones moved in a range of 155 points and trading was quiet as it was evident that investors are more cautious and more focused on elections today.Stocks showed little lasting impact from the Institute for Supply Management report that its measure of U.S. manufacturing dropped last month to the lowest level since September 1982.The trade group said its index of manufacturing activity fell to 38.9 from 43.5 in September.The dollar rose against most other major currencies. Gold prices also rose.Light, sweet crude fell $3.87 to settle at $63.91 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.In indian market today, nifty above 3000 will test 3080 strong resistance and if breaks 3080, then move towards 3130 is on today.Higher level might exert pressure again.If nifty breaks 3000, then it will have strong support at 2960.Though market is looking bullish for today, trading might be cautious and indian investors also might be more focused on U.S elections today.

Stock watch for the day:

Today's calls only for clients

Intraday Call Performance 03/11/08

Market closing positive above 3000

Positive global cues added with RBI rate cut took the market high above 3000 today as expected.Nifty today opened above 3000 within minutes of opening and though it came down a bit, buying came in again to lift the market above 3000.Reliance Industries, L&T, SBI, ICICI Bank, HDFC, Bharti Airtel, ONGC and NTPC were biggest contributors in today's rally.But trading volume was less.Nifty closed at 3043, up 158 points from previous close is very positive for the market.Banking and realty stocks, along with capital goods, rallied today.Top Sensex gainers include Reliance Infrasructure, JP Associates, DLF, Ranbaxy, while losers were Satyam Computer and Infosys.Remain above 3000 will be good for the market tomorrow unless we have a big negative news around.Today it will be interesting to see how DOW trades and positive close will boost indian market tomorow also.

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

It was a good trading day with good profits for clients

Short Nifty Futures around 3040 with stop loss 3065 for target 2960 and it made 2960 and gave cover order....SUPER DUPER PROFIT

Short HDIL around 152-153 with stop loss 154.4 for target 142-136 and it made 136....SUPER DUPER PROFIT

Short India Bulls Real Estate around 126 with stop loss 128.3 and it made just 123.4 and then hit the stop loss

Short Sail around 88 with stop loss 89.2 and it made 86.8

Short RCom around 226 with stop loss 229.2 for target 218 and it made 221.8....GOOD PROFIT

Short SBI around 1220 with stop loss 1228 for target 1190 and it made 1203....GOOD PROFIT

Short JSW Steel around 311 with stop loss 313.2 for target 305 and it made 308 and told to cover position

Market Outlook 03/11/08

Positive global cues can help nifty today

It was a very volatile day of market opening up with a huge gap up on friday and then sudden crash and again move up in the last hour and closing strong.Global cues are still positive for today also, but upper level is seen exerting pressure in the market.Another positive news is of RBI cutting CRR by 1%, repo rate by 0.5% signaling softening of interest rates to prop up growth.The SLR cut would inject about Rs 40,000 crore into the banking system.The Dow Jones industrial average gained 144.32 points, or 1.57 percent, to 9,325.01.Financial shares, led by a more than 8 percent gain in JPMorgan Chase lifted Wall Street as the interbank borrowing cost eased.The interbank cost of borrowing dollars, sterling and euros again eased in overnight markets, lending support to equities.But economic data on Friday that showed U.S. consumers are tightening their belts offered more evidence of a deep slowdown, though the market appeared to shrug it off.Oil fell nearly $2 on Friday as weak demand and the global economic crisis put crude on track for the biggest monthly drop ever.U.S. crude fell $1.82 to $64.14 a barrel.It was the sharpest economic decline in seven years for the United States, the world's largest oil consumer, provoking further falls across commodities and global stock markets.For today's market in india, Nifty might turn positive only above 2920 and if stays above 2920, it will hit 2945 first and then 3000.But, if nifty fails to test 2920, it will come down sharply towards 2850 support first and then to 2790.

Stock watch for the day:

Today's calls only for clients