Market Outlook 03/11/08

Positive global cues can help nifty today

It was a very volatile day of market opening up with a huge gap up on friday and then sudden crash and again move up in the last hour and closing strong.Global cues are still positive for today also, but upper level is seen exerting pressure in the market.Another positive news is of RBI cutting CRR by 1%, repo rate by 0.5% signaling softening of interest rates to prop up growth.The SLR cut would inject about Rs 40,000 crore into the banking system.The Dow Jones industrial average gained 144.32 points, or 1.57 percent, to 9,325.01.Financial shares, led by a more than 8 percent gain in JPMorgan Chase lifted Wall Street as the interbank borrowing cost eased.The interbank cost of borrowing dollars, sterling and euros again eased in overnight markets, lending support to equities.But economic data on Friday that showed U.S. consumers are tightening their belts offered more evidence of a deep slowdown, though the market appeared to shrug it off.Oil fell nearly $2 on Friday as weak demand and the global economic crisis put crude on track for the biggest monthly drop ever.U.S. crude fell $1.82 to $64.14 a barrel.It was the sharpest economic decline in seven years for the United States, the world's largest oil consumer, provoking further falls across commodities and global stock markets.For today's market in india, Nifty might turn positive only above 2920 and if stays above 2920, it will hit 2945 first and then 3000.But, if nifty fails to test 2920, it will come down sharply towards 2850 support first and then to 2790.

Stock watch for the day:

Today's calls only for clients

Intraday Call Performance 31/10/08

Huge gap up opening and closing positive

It was a fantastic huge gap up opening today in the market due to positive global cues and nifty made a high of 2921-exactly at resistance zone in the opening hour and came down very sharply towards 2775 and then again bounced back in the closing hours and closed very strong at 2885, up 188 points from previous close.Market mover Reliance Industries took the major initiative today along with metal and oil & gas stocks to take the market up.Huge buying was also seen in banking, telecom, IT, auto and capital goods stocks.Market breadh was positive throughout the session and about 1768 shares have advanced while 1185 shares have declined. Nearly 237 shares remained unchanged.Volumes were very lower in today's trade.On the global front, Asian markets ended mixed and European markets were trading weak.Volatility was there today also as expected.Top Sensex gainers include Mahindra & Mahindra, HDFC, Sterlite industries, ICICI Bank, JP Associates

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

It was a fantastic profit day for all my clients today

Short Nifty Futures around 2945 with stop loss 2972 for target 2890 and it made 2897....VERY GOOD PROFIT

Short Nifty Futures around 2950 with stop loss 2972 for target 2920-2880 and when it made 2860, told to cover the position....SUPER DUPER PROFIT

Short RCom around 205 with stop loss 207.2 for target 200 and it made 199....VERY GOOD PROFIT

Short HDIL around 152 with stop loss 154.2 for target 143-136 and it made 140....SUPER DUPER PROFIT

Short SBI around 1175 with stop loss 1182 for target 1160-1135-1100 and it made 1065....SUPER DUPER PROFIT

Short India Bulls Real Estate around 125 with stop loss 126.2 for target 119-115 and it made 117....SUPER DUPER PROFIT

Market Outlook 31/10/08

The level of 2740 still showing crucial trend

After a break of one day, market will resume today.It was a volatile day on wednesday with nifty feeling pressure at higher levels and the trend is expected to continue today also.On global front, The Dow Jones industrial average went up nearly 190 points with less volatility after the Commerce Department's report that GDP fell at an annual rate of 0.3 percent during the third quarter -- its worst showing in seven years. Analysts expected a 0.5 percent decline in GDP, the broadest measure of economic growth or contraction, but while the report was better than expected, it still pointed to an economy that is shrinking.The new report said Americans' disposable income fell at an annual rate of 8.7 percent in the quarter, the largest in records dating back to 1947 and the worst still doesn't seem to be over yet.A collapse of the housing market and locked-up lending have produced the worst financial crisis to hit the country in more than 70 years.To cushion the fallout, the Fed slashed interest rates on Wednesday by half a percentage point to 1 percent, a level seen only once before in the last half century.The Dow Jones industrial average rose 189.73 to close at 9,180.69.On Thursday, the dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.Light, sweet crude fell $1.54 to settle at $65.96 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.In indian market today, nifty is facing continuous pressure around 2740 as mentioned on wednesdaya nd today also 2740 will be crucial trend and if nifty stays above that, then it will move to 2800 and if fails to cross 2740 on higher side, it will go down to test 2620 great supporta nd break wil take to 2575.Overall interesting weekend.

Stock watch for the day:

Today's calls only for clients

Intraday Call Performance 29/10/08

Profit booking in the market and still closing positive

Market opened up with gap up and struggled around 2740 as nifty couldn't sustain above 2740 and came down to make a low of 2632 and then again went up above 2700.Volatility was there in the market today also as market was facing pressure at higher ends.Nifty closed at 2697, up 12 points. Metal, oil & gas stocks and few technology stocks saw good buying coming in, whereas realty, pharma and FMCG stocks witnessed selling pressure.Top Sensex gainers include Hindalco, Mahindra & Mahindra, Wipro and ACC, while losers are Reliance Communications, Ranbaxy, DLF and Satyam Computer, among others.Among the frontliners, Suzlon Energy fell 75% and Reliance Industries tanked 40%. Tata Motors and Tata Steel plunged 60% each.Volumes increased due to F&O expiry.Market breadth was in favour of declines; about 1324 shares have advanced while 1637 shares have declined. Nearly 229 shares remained unchanged.On the global front, Asian markets ended mixed.European markets were trading higher.

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Buy Nifty Futures around 2710 with stop loss 2690 and stop loss hit

Short Nifty Futures around 2720 with stop loss 2742 for target 2670 and it made 2685....VERY GOOD PROFIT

Buy SBI around 1138 with stop loss 1133 and it made just 1149 and then stop loss hit

Short HDIL around 138 with stop loss 141.2 for target 132 and it just made 134

Short Reliance Industries around 1182 with stop loss 1195 and it made just 1169

Buy Bank of India around 218 with stop loss 215.6 for target 226-230 and it made 228.5....VERY GOOD PROFIT

Short India Bulls Real Estate around 120 with stop loss 121.2 for target 115 and it made 115.3....VERY GOOD PROFIT

Short Reliance Industries around 1190 with stop loss 1198 and it made 1183 and then hit the stop loss

Market Outlook 29/10/08

Deepawali upmove to continue..!

It was a blasting deepawali muhurat trading yesterday as indian market also danced to the deepawali celebrations as nifty zoomed 160 points to close at 2684 and buying expected to continue today also.Realty, metal, power, capital goods, oil and auto stocks lead the rally yesterday.Global cues are also very positive today with The Dow Jones industrial average jumping nearly 900 points due to short covering ahead of Fed meet and rate cut announcement on Wednesday and after start of the Fed's efforts to revive lending in the commercial paper market, where companies turn for short-term loans and Dow raected positively by closing 889.35 points to 9,065.12.The market's reaction was notable because it was investors' anguish over a likely recession that had them selling just days ago. But analysts don't necessarily see that change of heart as a sign of health.The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.Light, sweet crude settled down 49 cents to settle at $62.73 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.For today, indian market is looking bullish and nifty above has small hurdle at 2740 and once it gets past that big hurdle is only at 2850.Below 2740, nifty will remain weak and lower level support is at 2590.Watch out the level of 2740 and even if nifty jumps above this and later hour if breaks this level, be cautious in longs as tomorrow is again a trading holiday.

Stock watch for the day:

Today's calls only for clients

Intraday Call Performance 27/10/08

Deep crash and then huge short covering towards the close

It was a very volatile day of trading today as nifty-though opned above 2500, couldn't sustain above it and once it started trading below it went on crashing and made a low of 2253.Then recovery came in last hour of trading with buying coming in telecom, pharma, capital goods, realty, oil & gas and IT stocks pulling the market up above 2500 again and making a high of 2540 and then closed at 2,524, down 59 points from previous close.As expected, volatility was severe this time.As usual, it was Reliance Industries which took the initiative in breaking the market in the morning session.Market breadth was extremely weak throughout the day and about 698 shares have advanced while 2305 shares have declined. About 187 shares remained unchanged.Asian markets also trading very weak today.Top Sensex gainers include Bharti Airtel, Reliance Communications, Reliance Industries, Satyam Computer and TCS, while losers are Mahindra & Mahindra, Tata Motors, Grasim, SBI and Tata Power, among others.In this historical crash of market, there are many stocks which are at very atractive level on long term view.Investors are going on selling beyond imagination and market is definitely oversold also.

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Due to severe volatility, only 2 golden calls were given with super duper profits today

Short Reliance Industries around 1032 with stop loss 1040 for target 1000-985-950 and it made 930....SUPER DUPER PROFIT

Short HDIL around 129 with stop loss 130.2 for target 120-115.5-111 and it made 107....SUPER DUPER PROFIT

Market Outlook 2710/08

Uncertain market with severe volatility

It was total bloodbath in indian market on friday as it broke strong support of 2850 and went crashing down to break one more significant major support at 2590-which is a worrying part now.On global scenario,The Dow Jones industrial average fell 312.3 to 8,378.95.The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates by at least a half-point to 1 percent this week. But the rate reduction is already priced into the market and unlikely to calm its restlessness.With a recession seen as inevitable, if not already under way, any Fed rate cut would be aimed at cushioning the fallout.U.S governments $700 billion financial bailout package is still not taken positively by the market.World market is seeing bad times.The Fed had moved to the sidelines out of fear that its rate cuts would worsen inflation. Since then the inflation threat has lessened. The threat of a global recession has dampened once surging prices for energy, food and other commodities.Now a few economists are starting to worry about deflation - a widespread and dangerous bout of falling prices -- if the U.S. and world economy get stuck in a long and painful recession.For today in indian market, nifty will face solid resistance around 2600 on upper side and failure to get through this resistance will result in testing of 2520 again and break will create havoc again which will take nifty towards 2400 straight..!! sentiments may be positive only if nifty gets past 2600 with volume and stays above that which will take nifty towards 2680 and then 2740 solid resistance..! one can expect severe volatility due to trading holiday's this week and also due to expiry on thursday.

Stock watch for the day:

Today's calls only for clients