Market Outlook 06/10/08

Market near the crucial edge again !

Indian market crashed again on friday and closed well near to 3800 support area.On global front, The Dow Jones industrial fell 157.15 points to 10,325.70 after the U.S. House of Representatives approved a $700 billion financial rescue plan as investors are still in uncertain condition about this rescue plans of the government.The U.S. crude settled at $93.88 a barrel, down 9 cents.Now for today, if nifty reminas above 3800 it will be positive and if breaks 3800, then it will slide heavily towards one more big support area 3745-which has to be protected or else another 100-150 points big fall cannot be ruled out and on upper side, nifty has crucial resistanes at 3870 and 3920 and then 3980 strongest resistance.So, watch out for the crucial begining on the week.It will also be interesting to see the market major Reliance Industries in action today.
Banking, Real estate and Infrastructure stocks will be interesting to watch today.Nifty might also open gap down near the support area.So, better to watch out for the crucial first hour.

Stock watch for the day:

Today's calls only for clients

Intraday call performance 03/10/08

Market cracking as expected !

As told here, nifty never crossed 4000 and remianed weak and crashed to make a low of and closed at 3818, down 132 points from the previous close.The main contributor of this downfall as usual was Reliance Industries.The Asian markets also closed weak.Today's last hour saw huge selling.The market breadth was negative with advances at 223 against declines of 1030 on the NSE. Top Nifty gainers were Ranbaxy, BPCL and Sun Pharma while losers included Tata Steel, ICICI Bank and Sterlite.So, the weak closed in bearish mode today.

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Short Nifty Futures around 3915 with stop loss 3940 for target 3860 and when it made 3850, told to cover all position....HUGE PROFIT

Short TCS around 654 with stop loss 657 and the small stop loss hit

Short Reliance Infra around 784 with stop loss 793 for target 760-740 and it made 730....HUGE PROFIT

Short ONGC around 1022 with stoploss 1029 for taregt 1009 and it made 1013

Short TCS around 653 with stop loss 660.5 for target 640-630 and it made 643

Short Reliance Capital around 1095 with stop loss 1107 and gave cover order around 1080

Buy Reliance Capital around 1078 with stop los 1072 and it made 1088 and told to cover anywhere in profit as it was final hours of trading

Market Outlook 03/10/08

Below 4000 nifty remains weak

Indian market just recovered from low's on wednesday and closed good.But, as i mentioned on wednesday itself, today's moves will depend on global cues as yesterday was a trading holiday and global cues are negative for today as DOW jones fell 348.22 to 10,482.85 even after the $700 billion financial industry bailout found a second life on Wednesday, winning lopsided passage in the Senate and gaining ground in the House, where Republicans opposition softened.Unemplyement worries again showing concern in U.S now.The U.S has also extended ban against all short-selling in the shares of more than 800 financial companies till 17th of this month.Light, sweet crude fell $4.56 to settle at $93.97 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold and other commodities also declined during the session.So, be cautious in higher levels today.Nifty has to get past crucial resistances at 4000-4025 for further upmove and if nifty breaks 3920, it will slide to 3880 first and then break will take to 3845.

Stock watch for the day:

Today's calls only for clients

Intraday call performance 01/10/08

Market closing bullish ahead of trading holiday tomorrow

Though market started in negative mode in the morning session, recovery came in the later session to pull the market up like yesterday as nifty made a high of 4000 and then again in the last hour profit booking came in.But volatility was seen today as expected ahead of trading holiday tomorrow.Today it was the day of IT stocks which puled the market, though market mover Reliance Industries closed negative.Buying was also seen in telecom, FMCG, power, pharma and few metal stocks and also selling was seen in realty and few oil stocks.Today's U.S market will be of utmost interest and important also for indian market opening on friday.Nifty closed at 3950, up 29 points from the previous close.The market breadth was positive with advances at 772 against declines of 477 on the NSE. Top Nifty gainers included Satyam, HDFC Bank, Tata Power while losers included SAIL, L&T and Reliance Industries.

Stock watch for the day:

Reliance Infra :This was given a short call with stop loss 820 for target 760 and it made a low of 761 and high of 818.7

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Short Nifty Futures around 3880 with stop loss 3902 and it made 3865

Short Nifty Futures around 3975 with stop loss 3995 for target 3950 and it made 3954

Short Reliance Capital around 1111 with stop loss 1122 and it made 1093

Short ONGC around 1028 with stop loss 1033 and it hit the small stop loss

Short TCS around 652 with stop loss 656 and it hit the small stop loss

Short Bank of India at 283 with stop loss 285.2 and it hit the small stop loss

Short ICICI Bank around 560 with stop loss 566.5 for target 540 and it made 544

Short DLF around 354 with stop loss 358 and it made 349 and then hit the small stop loss

Buy Reliance Capital around 1160-1165 with stop loss 1148 and it made 1182

Market Outlook 01/10/08

Will the market hold on at higher levels !!

Though indian market opened low due to global breakdown, it recovered remarkably well to move almost near to 4000 and will it stay above 4000 is a big question mark now as ADAG may have different plans and tomorrow's trading holiday may bring in volatility also.On global scenario, The Dow rose 485.21 to 10,850.66 after the historic fall yesterday.Though the U.S governments financial rescue plan failed, they are in for second attempt in improving credit crisis and though nothing has been still finalised, this upmove is not with full confidence as worries are still very much in investors and DOW can go down again.Light, sweet crude rose $4.27 to settle at $100.64 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil fell more than $10 a barrel Monday as investors worried that a weaker economy would curtail demand.For today, nifty above 3920 will face tough resistance around 3970 and above that 4025 will be very very strong resistance for the day.Downside nifty has strong support at 3895 and then at 3860.One can expect volatile market in the begining of new month today.Be cautious at higher levels today.

Stock watch for the day:

Reliance Infra (790): Short this stock at higher levels with stop loss 820 for atregt 775-760.If moves above 820, don't be short on this.

Intraday call performance 30/09/08

Market closing positive despite global weekness

Today indian market started in bearish mode breaking 3777 and then 3755 and straight towards 3700 as told and made a low of 3715 and then recovery came in which intensified after the sun outage break taking nifty to remarkable high of 3967 breaking all resistances in between after Finance Minister and RBI clarifications on our present banking and financial system.This rally has been led by banking, capital goods, power, realty, telecom and oil stocks.It was a huge short covering rally today.Nifty closed at 3921, up 71 points.Top gainers were ICICI Bank, TCS, HDFC and Bharti Airtel, while losers were Tata Steel, Tata Motors, Ranbaxy and Grasim.

Following calls were given in yahoo messenger for clients:

Short Nifty Futures around 3920 with stop loss 3935 and it made just 3912 and then hit the stop loss

Short TCS around 605 with stop loss 609 and the stop loss hit

Short Hindustan Lever around 252 with stop loss 255.2 and it made 247

Short Reliance Infra around 800 with stop loss 811 and it made 792 and then hit the stop loss

Short TCS around 654 with stop loss 660.5 and the small stop loss hit

Short Reliance Industries around 1940 with stop loss 1950 and it hit the stop loss

Short Reliance Infra around 814 with stop loss 820.5 for target 780 and it made 784....GOOD PROFIT

Market outlook 30/09/08

U.S fianacial relief plan failed..DOW witness historic crash !!

It was a very bad day for world market yesterday as here in india nifty broke down to make a low of 3777-very near to support 3755 and in global scenario, setimesnts are very very weak as The Dow Jones industrial average witnessed its worst day fall in history of 21 years as it crashed 777.68 points 10,365.45 and the privious big fall was 684 points it lost on the first day of trading after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.This historic fall was due to the House of Representatives rejecting the $700 billion financial relief plan of U.S government.The bailout bill failed 228-205 in the House.Crude factor was another major hit as Light, sweet crude fell $10.52 to settle at $96.36 on the New York Mercantile Exchange as investors feared energy demand would continue to slide amid further economic weakness.Now the U.S government will have to search for some other alternative for saving their economy.In Indian market, if nifty breaks 3777 on opening bell will break even 3755 support in all probability and will march towards 3700 first and then stright to 3630 area.If nifty moves above 3850, it will face resistance at 3870 and then 3920 where heavy selling might be witnessed again.Be cautious in first hour trading today as there may be severe volatility in the market today.Today's opening will be interesting to see..can india decouple from world market..! in coming years, india will decouple from world market.Right now, all kinds of manipulations are killing the market.Manipulators are heavily using these kind of opportunities and very shortly base will be formed for short term super up move.

Stock watch for the day:

Today's calls only for clients